In the first three quarters, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with the Supreme Leader as the core, all localities and departments thoroughly implemented the decision-making arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on "agriculture, rural areas and farmers", overcame the adverse effects of serious natural disasters, and achieved an increase in summer grain production and a stable yield of early rice. The annual grain harvest is expected to be another bumper harvest, animal husbandry production is developing steadily, agricultural product prices are running smoothly, and the agricultural economic situation is generally good.
First, the national autumn harvest is progressing smoothly, and the annual grain harvest is in sight.
Increase summer grain production and stabilize early rice production. In 2024, the national summer grain output was 299.56 billion Jin, an increase of 7.25 billion Jin or 2.5% over the previous year, and the output reached a new record high. Affected by heavy rainfall, the national early rice output was 56.35 billion Jin, down 330 million Jin from the previous year, down 0.6%, and the early rice production remained stable as a whole.
The autumn grain production situation is good. This year, the state will continue to increase support for grain production, raise the minimum purchase price of rice, continue to implement subsidies for corn and soybean production, and take various measures to stabilize farmers’ enthusiasm for growing grain. All localities continue to do a good job in grain production, actively tap the area potential through reasonable adjustment of planting structure, development of intercropping and reclamation of abandoned land, and the area of autumn grain has increased steadily. In most agricultural areas this year, the light and warm water are relatively matched during the crop growing period, and the meteorological conditions are generally conducive to crop growth and yield formation. Some areas in Henan, Liaoning and other places were seriously affected, which had a certain impact on autumn grain production. At present, the national autumn harvest is progressing smoothly, and the annual grain harvest is in sight.
Second, the slaughter of pigs decreased year-on-year, and the production of cattle, sheep and poultry was generally stable.
The slaughter of live pigs decreased year-on-year, and the number of live pigs continued to increase. In the first three quarters, 520.3 million pigs were slaughtered nationwide, a year-on-year decrease of 16.93 million or 3.2%. Quarterly, the slaughter of live pigs in the first, second and third quarters decreased by 2.2%, 4.0% and 3.3% respectively. The national pork output was 42.4 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 610,000 tons or 1.4%. At the end of the third quarter, there were 426.94 million live pigs in China, a year-on-year decrease of 15.35 million or 3.5%. The chain increased by 11.6 million heads, an increase of 2.8%. Among them, the number of fertile sows was 40.62 million, a year-on-year decrease of 1.78 million, down 4.2%; The chain increased by 250,000 heads, an increase of 0.6%, and the basic production capacity continued to increase slightly.
The production of cattle and sheep remained stable, and the output of poultry meat and eggs increased. In the first three quarters, the national beef output was 5.32 million tons, an increase of 230,000 tons, an increase of 4.6%; The mutton output was 3.56 million tons, down 80,000 tons or 2.2% year-on-year; The output of poultry meat was 19.15 million tons, an increase of 1.15 million tons, an increase of 6.4%; The output of poultry eggs was 26.42 million tons, an increase of 900,000 tons, an increase of 3.5%; The milk output was 29.02 million tons, down by 30,000 tons or 0.1% year-on-year.
Third, the producer price of agricultural products reversed the decline, and the market price was generally stable.
In the first three quarters, the national producer price level of agricultural products decreased by 1.2% year-on-year. On a quarterly basis, it decreased by 3.9% and 2.9% respectively in the first and second quarters, and increased by 2.4% in the third quarter, and rose after five consecutive quarters of year-on-year decline. In terms of classification, in the first three quarters, the producer prices of agricultural products, livestock products and fishery products decreased by 1.2%, 1.6% and 2.4% respectively, while the producer prices of forestry products increased by 3.4%. Among them, wheat decreased by 5.1%, rice increased by 1.5%, and corn decreased by 13.1%; Beans, potatoes and oilseeds decreased by 3.5%, 14.5% and 2.0% respectively; Vegetables rose by 2.3%; Live pigs increased by 7.6%, while live cattle, live sheep and live poultry decreased by 15.4%, 9.8% and 3.2% respectively. In the third quarter, agricultural products, forestry products, raised animals and products increased by 2.3%, 3.8% and 3.5% respectively, except the producer price of fishery products decreased slightly by 0.6%.
In September, the prices of agricultural products markets were generally stable. In terms of varieties, grain prices generally declined. The prices of indica rice, japonica rice, wheat, corn, soybean and cotton decreased by 0.3%, 0.6%, 0.4%, 2.8%, 0.8% and 1.7% respectively. The prices of livestock and poultry products are mixed. The price of live pigs fell in September, down 5.0% from the previous month, but still rose by 15.1% year-on-year. The price of live cattle was flat, down 20.0% year-on-year, and the price of live sheep rose by 0.2% from the previous month, down 11.0% year-on-year. The prices of vegetables and fruits are generally rising.
(Author Wang Guirong is the Director of the Rural Social and Economic Investigation Department of the National Bureau of Statistics)
关于作者